2026 MATRIXWEEK 9138 FBS TEAMS56 GAMESCOLLEGE FOOTBALL DECODEDMODEL + MARKET + CONTEXT
GameDay Matrix
Matrix Wire / This Week
Market Disagreement

Week 1 archive: where the Matrix and the pregame market disagreed most.

The edge board is not a second power ranking. It measures how the pregame GameDay Matrix projection differs from the current market update.

Top Side GapBall State +8.5
GameBall State at Ohio State
Top Total GapUNDER 7.4
Total GameBall State at Ohio State

Side board

The largest pregame side disagreement is Ball State at Ohio State. GameDay Matrix makes Ohio State a 42.0-point favorite while the market update prices Ohio State at 50.5. The difference creates the current +8.5-point gap on Ball State.

Total board

The largest current total disagreement is Ball State at Ohio State. The model total is 49.1, compared with a market total of 56.5, producing a 7.4-point UNDER signal.

How to use it

Market disagreement is a context layer. It does not redefine MPR, and it does not mean every large gap deserves the same confidence. Player availability, matchup type and projection confidence remain separate inputs to the public read.