SAT OCT 17 · 12:00 PM EDTMATRIX PROJ
MATRIX PROJ
Ohio State28
Indiana22
Matrix Signal
Week 7 forecasts · Updated October 1362 games33 spread picks27 total picks6 Upset Watch games
Week 7 Forecast Board
Scores & forecasts.
WEEK 7 PROJECTIONS
SAT OCT 17 · 3:30 PM EDTMATRIX PROJ
MATRIX PROJ
Alabama29
Tennessee24
SAT OCT 17 · 7:30 PM EDTMATRIX PROJ
MATRIX PROJ
Notre Dame31
BYU22
SAT OCT 17 · 3:30 PM EDTMATRIX PROJ
MATRIX PROJ
Missouri25
Ole Miss28
SAT OCT 17 · 3:30 PM EDTMATRIX PROJ
MATRIX PROJ
Penn State23
Michigan26
SAT OCT 17 · 12:00 PM EDTMATRIX PROJ
MATRIX PROJ
Florida19
Texas30
SAT OCT 17 · 11:00 PM EDTMATRIX PROJ
MATRIX PROJ
Nebraska18
Oregon34
SAT OCT 17 · 3:30 PM EDTMATRIX PROJ
MATRIX PROJ
Auburn15
Georgia34
GameDay Matrix · National Command
Saturday Starts in the Matrix.
College football power rankings, projections, market signals and the games shaping the week — one connected view of the Matrix.
Featured Matchup
Model EdgeOhio State 5.1
Win Chance63%
Model Total50.0
Week 7 published projection.
Open in Game Lab →
College Football Headlines
Captured Oct 13 · checking for newer headlines
Around college football.
ESPNThis is what it takes to make a transfer QB work every seasonRead at ESPN ↗ESPNHarris eligible to sign with NFL teams despite bid to play for LSURead at ESPN ↗ESPNFlorida State's top recruit in 2026 dismissed from program over conductRead at ESPN ↗ESPNLanning says Oregon DT won't face discipline for play that hurt IamaleavaRead at ESPN ↗ESPNSources: Mississippi State star QB Taylor's status vs. LSU uncertainRead at ESPN ↗ESPNGeorgia Tech LB Efford medically retiring, staying on as captainRead at ESPN ↗
Inside the Matrix · Week 7
Open Matrix Wire →Week 6 closeout58 finals. Winner picks finish 39–19.
Margin MAE 11.26; saved-market spread diagnostic 30–26–1 and totals 27–31.
Open the review →Week 7 forecasts62 published Week 7 forecasts.
Scores, winners, spreads and totals use the updated Week 7 model. Injury and weather factors appear in game context; market quotes are dated October 13.
Model evaluationThe active fit trailed its frozen benchmark by 0.22 points.Active margin MAE 11.26 versus benchmark 11.04 on the same 58 games. Refit uses 329 earlier FBS games; settings remain 8 / 14 / 0.90.
Matchup contextQuarterback and weather notes refreshed for the weekend.Current quarterback availability and game-window weather, with dated sources. Completed-game notes retain their original context.
Matrix UnhingedFive ticket combinations using exact recorded quotes.Week 6 tickets are archived with their results. This week’s combinations share several legs.
Weekly learningFreeze first. Grade the full slate.Week 7 forecasts were saved before the earliest kickoff. Original forecasts and recorded prices remain preserved.
Week 7 · Saturday, October 17 · Tuesday review · Weekend tickets
All tickets & returns Matrix Unhinged
Week 7 ticket picks using exact October 13 recorded quotes. Matchup context accompanies the forecasts.
Parlay A · 3 spread legs
James Madison, Washington State, Bowling Green.
- James Madison -12.5-108
- Washington State +17.5-105
- Bowling Green -6.5-115
Combined odds ≈+603$10.00 returns$70.30
See the ticket
Parlay B · 3 spread legs
Miami (OH), TCU, Oklahoma.
- Miami (OH) -9.5-112
- TCU +6-110
- Oklahoma -7-105
Combined odds ≈+606$10.00 returns$70.55
See the ticket
Perfect Storm · 3 moneyline upsets
Cincinnati, TCU, Penn State.
- Cincinnati ML+105
- TCU ML+185
- Penn State ML+200
Combined odds ≈+1,653$10.00 returns$175.28
See the ticket DraftKings quotes recorded Oct 13, 2:33 PM ET. Returns include the example stake and require every leg to win.
National Power Rankings
GameDay Matrix Top 25 Power Rankings.
See the complete profile behind each ranking: MPR, scoring offense, scoring defense, point differential, schedule strength, projected wins and weekly movement. View all 138 teams →
Top offenseNotre Dame37.1 PPG
Top defenseNotre Dame16.6 pts allowed
Best scoring marginNotre Dame+20.6 per game
Toughest scheduleTexasSOS #1
Rank
TeamMPROffenseDefenseNetSOSProj WinsMove
#1
OS
Ohio StateBig Ten · 5-1
MPR32.3#1
Offense32.5#12 · PPG
Defense17.3#3 · allowed
Net+15.3#6
SOS#20schedule
Proj Wins9.94#8
Week move-0.25-0.25 MPR
#2
G
GeorgiaSEC · 6-0
MPR29.0#2
Offense33.9#7 · PPG
Defense17.3#4 · allowed
Net+16.7#3
SOS#21schedule
Proj Wins11.11#2
Week move-0.18-0.18 MPR
#3
ND
Notre DameIndependent · 6-0
MPR28.7#3
Offense37.1#1 · PPG
Defense16.6#1 · allowed
Net+20.6#1
SOS#55schedule
Proj Wins11.20#1
Week move▲ 1+1.35 MPR
#4
O
OregonBig Ten · 3-2
MPR26.1#4
Offense32.9#11 · PPG
Defense18.7#10 · allowed
Net+14.2#8
SOS#14schedule
Proj Wins8.56#23
Week move▼ 1-1.28 MPR
#5
M(&v=472)
Miami (FL)ACC · 5-0
MPR25.1#5
Offense34.3#3 · PPG
Defense16.8#2 · allowed
Net+17.5#2
SOS#47schedule
Proj Wins10.86#4
Week move-0.37-0.37 MPR
#6
I
IndianaBig Ten · 6-0
MPR24.9#6
Offense31.6#16 · PPG
Defense19.1#12 · allowed
Net+12.5#11
SOS#44schedule
Proj Wins10.51#6
Week move-0.52-0.52 MPR
#7
T
TexasSEC · 4-1
MPR24.3#7
Offense31.4#18 · PPG
Defense21.0#24 · allowed
Net+10.4#15
SOS#1schedule
Proj Wins9.07#17
Week move-0.99-0.99 MPR
#8
A
AlabamaSEC · 5-1
MPR22.5#8
Offense30.6#22 · PPG
Defense18.1#6 · allowed
Net+12.5#10
SOS#5schedule
Proj Wins9.42#13
Week move-0.51-0.51 MPR
#9
L
LSUSEC · 4-2
MPR21.3#9
Offense28.8#44 · PPG
Defense21.3#26 · allowed
Net+7.6#24
SOS#8schedule
Proj Wins8.05#32
Week move-1.34-1.34 MPR
#10
TT
Texas TechBig 12 · 5-0
MPR20.3#10
Offense33.5#10 · PPG
Defense19.0#11 · allowed
Net+14.5#7
SOS#67schedule
Proj Wins10.75#5
Week move▲ 1+0.28 MPR
#11
TA
Texas A&MSEC · 3-3
MPR19.1#11
Offense29.6#32 · PPG
Defense23.1#32 · allowed
Net+6.5#31
SOS#16schedule
Proj Wins6.46#69
Week move▼ 1-1.34 MPR
#12
O
OklahomaSEC · 3-2
MPR17.1#12
Offense26.7#64 · PPG
Defense22.0#30 · allowed
Net+4.7#44
SOS#3schedule
Proj Wins7.32#46
Week move▲ 2+0.97 MPR
#13
OM
Ole MissSEC · 4-1
MPR17.0#13
Offense29.8#31 · PPG
Defense24.6#51 · allowed
Net+5.1#40
SOS#15schedule
Proj Wins7.97#33
Week move▲ 4+1.40 MPR
#14
T
TennesseeSEC · 5-1
MPR17.0#14
Offense28.4#51 · PPG
Defense27.3#87 · allowed
Net+1.1#66
SOS#11schedule
Proj Wins8.15#31
Week move▼ 2-0.58 MPR
#15
U
USCBig Ten · 6-1
MPR16.6#15
Offense27.3#60 · PPG
Defense26.5#76 · allowed
Net+0.8#67
SOS#19schedule
Proj Wins8.59#22
Week move▲ 1+0.73 MPR
#16
B
BYUBig 12 · 5-0
MPR16.5#16
Offense30.4#25 · PPG
Defense22.4#31 · allowed
Net+8.0#22
SOS#49schedule
Proj Wins9.80#9
Week move▼ 3-0.23 MPR
#17
M
MissouriSEC · 5-1
MPR15.6#17
Offense25.3#79 · PPG
Defense25.8#67 · allowed
Net-0.5#73
SOS#10schedule
Proj Wins7.94#34
Week move▲ 3+1.38 MPR
#18
U
UtahBig 12 · 5-0
MPR14.4#18
Offense30.5#24 · PPG
Defense23.7#37 · allowed
Net+6.9#27
SOS#53schedule
Proj Wins9.62#11
Week move▲ 1+0.04 MPR
#19
F
FloridaSEC · 4-2
MPR14.3#19
Offense24.1#92 · PPG
Defense24.9#54 · allowed
Net-0.9#77
SOS#6schedule
Proj Wins6.91#58
Week move▼ 4-1.73 MPR
#20
M
MichiganBig Ten · 3-2
MPR14.1#20
Offense24.6#85 · PPG
Defense25.2#58 · allowed
Net-0.5#74
SOS#7schedule
Proj Wins6.47#68
Week move▲ 1+0.21 MPR
#21
PS
Penn StateBig Ten · 3-3
MPR14.1#21
Offense29.6#34 · PPG
Defense20.8#22 · allowed
Net+8.8#18
SOS#61schedule
Proj Wins7.19#52
Week move▼ 3-0.79 MPR
#22
I
IowaBig Ten · 5-1
MPR14.1#22
Offense27.2#62 · PPG
Defense19.8#19 · allowed
Net+7.5#25
SOS#39schedule
Proj Wins9.08#16
Week move+1.27+1.27 MPR
#23
N
NebraskaBig Ten · 5-1
MPR12.7#23
Offense24.1#91 · PPG
Defense27.3#88 · allowed
Net-3.2#89
SOS#26schedule
Proj Wins7.63#42
Week move▲ 1+0.51 MPR
#24
A
ArizonaBig 12 · 5-1
MPR12.0#24
Offense27.6#59 · PPG
Defense24.4#46 · allowed
Net+3.2#55
SOS#57schedule
Proj Wins8.47#25
Week move▲ 2+0.99 MPR
#25
L
LouisvilleACC · 3-3
MPR11.9#25
Offense29.4#35 · PPG
Defense20.8#23 · allowed
Net+8.5#19
SOS#45schedule
Proj Wins7.19#51
Week move▲ 3+1.42 MPR
Week 7
Best Matchups of the Week.
The six Week 7 games that best combine team quality, competitiveness and national relevance. Open the full Weekly Matrix →
SAT, OCT 17MPR #1 vs #6
SAT, OCT 17MPR #8 vs #14
SAT, OCT 17MPR #3 vs #16
SAT, OCT 17MPR #17 vs #13
SAT, OCT 17MPR #21 vs #20
SAT, OCT 17MPR #19 vs #7