62 published forecasts with recorded market comparisons. Injury and weather factors appear with each matchup.
Player availability and weather factors for the published forecasts, with dated sources.
Quarterback context: EJ Archield Jr. made his first start after Nick Minnicucci’s injury. Starter role and availability add uncertainty. Recorded game-window forecast: wind up to 10 mph.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context recorded October 13
Quarterback context: Week 6 QB usage changed to Brock Glenn. Starter role can affect the game outlook. Recorded game-window forecast: wind up to 10 mph.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context recorded October 13
Colorado State: Hauss Hejny was listed Questionable in the saved availability record. The replacement quarterback role can affect the game outlook. Recorded game-window forecast: wind up to 5 mph.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context recorded October 13
NWS game-window forecast: 72–82°F; wind 15–20 mph, gusts up to 36 mph; precipitation chance up to 24%. An NWS Wind Advisory covers the forecast area during the game window.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
App State lists quarterback Malachi Singleton as a game-time decision for Friday’s Coastal Carolina game in its gameday report. NWS game-window forecast: 73–76°F; wind 7–9 mph.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
Washington lists Demond Williams Jr. as a game-time decision and Elijah Brown as available in its 6 PM ET gameday report. NWS game-window forecast: 47–50°F; wind 14–17 mph, gusts up to 33 mph; precipitation chance up to 49%.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
Florida lists quarterback Aaron Philo as questionable for Texas in the latest SEC report. NWS game-window forecast: 58–66°F; wind 10 mph, gusts up to 22 mph.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
Mississippi State lists quarterback Kamario Taylor and running back Fluff Bothwell as questionable in the latest SEC report. NWS game-window forecast: 62–70°F; wind 15 mph, gusts up to 23 mph.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
Pitt lists quarterback Mason Heintschel as out in the latest ACC report. The team announced he will miss the remainder of the season. NWS game-window forecast: 48–49°F; wind 15 mph, gusts up to 29 mph; precipitation chance up to 2%.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
NWS game-window forecast: 52–53°F; wind 15–20 mph, gusts up to 33 mph; precipitation chance up to 11%.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
Tennessee lists quarterback Faizon Brandon as questionable in the latest SEC report. NWS game-window forecast: 54–58°F; wind 10–15 mph, gusts up to 22 mph.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
Southern Miss lists quarterback Ethan Hampton as out in its latest Sun Belt report. Landry Lyddy leads the team in passing yards through five games. NWS game-window forecast: 59–69°F; wind 10–15 mph, gusts up to 26 mph.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
NWS game-window forecast: 77–79°F; wind 6–8 mph; precipitation chance up to 74%. Thunderstorms appear in the NWS hourly forecast; timing and local conditions can change.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
Syracuse lists Steve Angeli and Malachi Nelson as questionable and Amari Odom as out in the latest ACC report. All three have started games this season. Indoor game at JMA Wireless Dome.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:40 PM ET
UCLA lists Nico Iamaleava as out in the latest Big Ten report. Ty Dieffenbach replaced him after halftime against Oregon. NWS game-window forecast: 78–92°F; wind 5 mph.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
NWS game-window forecast: 77–84°F; wind 20–21 mph, gusts up to 29 mph; precipitation chance up to 23%.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
Cal lists quarterback Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele as questionable in the latest ACC report. NWS game-window forecast: 61–69°F; wind 0–2 mph.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
Oregon lists Dante Moore as out in the latest Big Ten report. Oregon used Dylan Raiola and Brock Thomas against UCLA. NWS game-window forecast: 52–57°F; wind 6–8 mph.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
Published model predictions alongside the recorded market line.
MT
Quarterback availability Quarterback context: EJ Archield Jr. made his first start after Nick Minnicucci’s injury. Starter role and availability add uncertainty. Recorded game-window forecast: wind up to 10 mph. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context recorded October 13
MTQuarterback availability Quarterback context: EJ Archield Jr. made his first start after Nick Minnicucci’s injury. Starter role and availability add uncertainty. Recorded game-window forecast: wind up to 10 mph. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context recorded October 13
JS
JS
MS
SH
Quarterback availability Quarterback context: Week 6 QB usage changed to Brock Glenn. Starter role can affect the game outlook. Recorded game-window forecast: wind up to 10 mph. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context recorded October 13
U
U
OD
TS
Quarterback availability Colorado State: Hauss Hejny was listed Questionable in the saved availability record. The replacement quarterback role can affect the game outlook. Recorded game-window forecast: wind up to 5 mph. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context recorded October 13
TSQuarterback availability Colorado State: Hauss Hejny was listed Questionable in the saved availability record. The replacement quarterback role can affect the game outlook. Recorded game-window forecast: wind up to 5 mph. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context recorded October 13
Wind NWS game-window forecast: 72–82°F; wind 15–20 mph, gusts up to 36 mph; precipitation chance up to 24%. An NWS Wind Advisory covers the forecast area during the game window. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
CC
Quarterback availability App State lists quarterback Malachi Singleton as a game-time decision for Friday’s Coastal Carolina game in its gameday report. NWS game-window forecast: 73–76°F; wind 7–9 mph. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
P
Quarterback availability · Wind · Showers Washington lists Demond Williams Jr. as a game-time decision and Elijah Brown as available in its 6 PM ET gameday report. NWS game-window forecast: 47–50°F; wind 14–17 mph, gusts up to 33 mph; precipitation chance up to 49%. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
BG
WV
WV
JM
KS
L
Player availability · Wind Mississippi State lists quarterback Kamario Taylor and running back Fluff Bothwell as questionable in the latest SEC report. NWS game-window forecast: 62–70°F; wind 15 mph, gusts up to 23 mph. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
BC
Quarterback availability · Wind Pitt lists quarterback Mason Heintschel as out in the latest ACC report. The team announced he will miss the remainder of the season. NWS game-window forecast: 48–49°F; wind 15 mph, gusts up to 29 mph; precipitation chance up to 2%. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
Wind NWS game-window forecast: 52–53°F; wind 15–20 mph, gusts up to 33 mph; precipitation chance up to 11%. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
Wind NWS game-window forecast: 52–53°F; wind 15–20 mph, gusts up to 33 mph; precipitation chance up to 11%. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
B
M(&v=472){kind=logo}
Quarterback availability · Wind Tennessee lists quarterback Faizon Brandon as questionable in the latest SEC report. NWS game-window forecast: 54–58°F; wind 10–15 mph, gusts up to 22 mph. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
TT
D
W
M
M
EM
EM
OS
OS
V
SM
Quarterback availability · Wind Southern Miss lists quarterback Ethan Hampton as out in its latest Sun Belt report. Landry Lyddy leads the team in passing yards through five games. NWS game-window forecast: 59–69°F; wind 10–15 mph, gusts up to 26 mph. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
SMQuarterback availability · Wind Southern Miss lists quarterback Ethan Hampton as out in its latest Sun Belt report. Landry Lyddy leads the team in passing yards through five games. NWS game-window forecast: 59–69°F; wind 10–15 mph, gusts up to 26 mph. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
M(&v=472){kind=logo}
Thunderstorms NWS game-window forecast: 77–79°F; wind 6–8 mph; precipitation chance up to 74%. Thunderstorms appear in the NWS hourly forecast; timing and local conditions can change. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
SF
ND
S
Quarterback availability Syracuse lists Steve Angeli and Malachi Nelson as questionable and Amari Odom as out in the latest ACC report. All three have started games this season. Indoor game at JMA Wireless Dome. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:40 PM ET
SQuarterback availability Syracuse lists Steve Angeli and Malachi Nelson as questionable and Amari Odom as out in the latest ACC report. All three have started games this season. Indoor game at JMA Wireless Dome. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:40 PM ET
B
H
Quarterback availability · Heat UCLA lists Nico Iamaleava as out in the latest Big Ten report. Ty Dieffenbach replaced him after halftime against Oregon. NWS game-window forecast: 78–92°F; wind 5 mph. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
SS
SD
H
Wind NWS game-window forecast: 77–84°F; wind 20–21 mph, gusts up to 29 mph; precipitation chance up to 23%. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
C
Quarterback availability Cal lists quarterback Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele as questionable in the latest ACC report. NWS game-window forecast: 61–69°F; wind 0–2 mph. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
Quarterback availability Oregon lists Dante Moore as out in the latest Big Ten report. Oregon used Dylan Raiola and Brock Thomas against UCLA. NWS game-window forecast: 52–57°F; wind 6–8 mph. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Updated Oct 16, 6:37 PM ET
The six closest FBS forecasts by projected margin.
| Game | Watch team | Matrix margin | Observed spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy at Louisiana | Troy | 0.04 | Troy +4.5 |
| Appalachian State at Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | 0.80 | Coastal Carolina +1.5 |
| TCU at Baylor | TCU | 0.95 | TCU +6 |
| Wake Forest at California | California | 1.53 | California +9.5 |
| Georgia Southern at Old Dominion | Old Dominion | 1.80 | Old Dominion +3.5 |
| Cincinnati at West Virginia | Cincinnati | 2.53 | Cincinnati +1.5 |
Published spread predictions compared with October 13 recorded quotes.
| Rank | Game | Comparison | Matrix | Observed market | Gap | Confidence | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | WKWestern Kentucky at Sam Houston2026-10-14 | Western Kentucky -1.5 | Western Kentucky -14.4 | Western Kentucky -1.5 | 12.9 | Medium | Lab → |
| #2 | WWashington at Purdue2026-10-16 · FAVORITE FLIP | Washington +3.5 | Washington -9.3 | Purdue -3.5 | 12.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #3 | MMassachusetts at Buffalo2026-10-17 | Buffalo -6.5 | Buffalo -18.1 | Buffalo -6.5 | 11.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #4 | GSGeorgia State at James Madison2026-10-17 | James Madison -12.5 | James Madison -23.3 | James Madison -12.5 | 10.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #5 | WSWashington State at Oregon State2026-10-17 | Washington State +17.5 | Oregon State -7.6 | Oregon State -17.5 | 9.9 | Medium | Lab → |
| #6 | BSBall State at Bowling Green2026-10-17 | Bowling Green -6.5 | Bowling Green -16.3 | Bowling Green -6.5 | 9.8 | Low | Lab → |
| #7 | N Nebraska at Oregon2026-10-17 | Oregon -7.5 | Oregon -16.2 | Oregon -7.5 | 8.7 | High | Lab → |
| #8 | WFWake Forest at California2026-10-17 | California +9.5 | Wake Forest -1.5 | Wake Forest -9.5 | 8.0 | Low | Lab → |
| #9 | DDelaware at Middle Tennessee2026-10-13 | Delaware -1.5 | Delaware -9.1 | Delaware -1.5 | 7.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #10 | AAkron at Miami (OH)2026-10-17 | Miami (OH) -9.5 | Miami (OH) -17.0 | Miami (OH) -9.5 | 7.5 | High | Lab → |
| #11 | CSColorado State at Texas State2026-10-15 | Colorado State +14 | Texas State -6.6 | Texas State -14.0 | 7.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #12 | T TCU at Baylor2026-10-17 · FAVORITE FLIP | TCU +6 | TCU -0.9 | Baylor -6.0 | 6.9 | Low | Lab → |
| #13 | ECEast Carolina at UAB2026-10-15 | East Carolina -4.5 | East Carolina -10.8 | East Carolina -4.5 | 6.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #14 | C Charlotte at Temple2026-10-17 | Temple -21.5 | Temple -27.6 | Temple -21.5 | 6.1 | Low | Lab → |
| #15 | GSGeorgia Southern at Old Dominion2026-10-15 · FAVORITE FLIP | Old Dominion +3.5 | Old Dominion -1.8 | Georgia Southern -3.5 | 5.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #16 | K Kentucky at Oklahoma2026-10-17 | Oklahoma -7 | Oklahoma -12.2 | Oklahoma -7.0 | 5.2 | Medium | Lab → |
| #17 | ASArkansas State at Southern Miss2026-10-17 | Arkansas State -7 | Arkansas State -11.9 | Arkansas State -7.0 | 4.9 | Low | Lab → |
| #18 | FSFresno State at San Diego State2026-10-17 | San Diego State +7.5 | Fresno State -2.7 | Fresno State -7.5 | 4.8 | Low | Lab → |
| #19 | W Wisconsin at UCLA2026-10-17 | UCLA -2.5 | UCLA -7.0 | UCLA -2.5 | 4.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #20 | T Troy at Louisiana2026-10-17 | Troy +4.5 | Louisiana -0.0 | Louisiana -4.5 | 4.5 | Low | Lab → |
| #21 | M Memphis at Tulane2026-10-16 | Tulane +7 | Memphis -2.6 | Memphis -7.0 | 4.4 | Low | Lab → |
| #22 | A Alabama at Tennessee2026-10-17 | Tennessee +8.5 | Alabama -4.3 | Alabama -8.5 | 4.2 | Medium | Lab → |
| #23 | OOhio at Sacramento State2026-10-17 | Sacramento State +15.5 | Ohio -11.5 | Ohio -15.5 | 4.0 | Low | Lab → |
| #24 | CCincinnati at West Virginia2026-10-17 · FAVORITE FLIP | Cincinnati +1.5 | Cincinnati -2.5 | West Virginia -1.5 | 4.0 | Low | Lab → |
| #25 | LLouisville at Syracuse2026-10-17 | Syracuse +14.5 | Louisville -10.6 | Louisville -14.5 | 3.9 | Medium | Lab → |
| #26 | N Navy at UTSA2026-10-17 | Navy +6.5 | UTSA -2.7 | UTSA -6.5 | 3.8 | Low | Lab → |
| #27 | PSPenn State at Michigan2026-10-17 | Penn State +6.5 | Michigan -2.9 | Michigan -6.5 | 3.6 | Low | Lab → |
| #28 | NINorthern Illinois at Wyoming2026-10-17 | Wyoming -7.5 | Wyoming -11.0 | Wyoming -7.5 | 3.5 | Low | Lab → |
| #29 | ASArizona State at Texas Tech2026-10-17 | Texas Tech -14.5 | Texas Tech -18.0 | Texas Tech -14.5 | 3.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #30 | FIFlorida International at Jacksonville State2026-10-13 | Jacksonville State -3 | Jacksonville State -6.5 | Jacksonville State -3.0 | 3.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #31 | TToledo at Eastern Michigan2026-10-17 | Eastern Michigan +6.5 | Toledo -3.1 | Toledo -6.5 | 3.4 | Low | Lab → |
| #32 | KKansas at Kansas State2026-10-17 | Kansas State -4.5 | Kansas State -7.8 | Kansas State -4.5 | 3.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #33 | KSKennesaw State at Missouri State2026-10-14 | Kennesaw State -3 | Kennesaw State -6.1 | Kennesaw State -3.0 | 3.1 | Low | Lab → |
| #34 | U UNLV at Air Force2026-10-17 | UNLV -1.5 | UNLV -4.5 | UNLV -1.5 | 3.0 | Medium | Lab → |
| #35 | U Utah at Colorado2026-10-17 | Colorado +15.5 | Utah -12.6 | Utah -15.5 | 2.9 | Medium | Lab → |
| #36 | M Missouri at Ole Miss2026-10-17 | Missouri +6 | Ole Miss -3.2 | Ole Miss -6.0 | 2.8 | Low | Lab → |
| #37 | NMNew Mexico at Hawaii2026-10-17 | Hawaii +14.5 | New Mexico -11.7 | New Mexico -14.5 | 2.8 | High | Lab → |
| #38 | MSMississippi State at LSU2026-10-17 | LSU -14 | LSU -16.8 | LSU -14.0 | 2.8 | High | Lab → |
| #39 | ASAppalachian State at Coastal Carolina2026-10-16 · FAVORITE FLIP | Coastal Carolina +1.5 | Coastal Carolina -0.8 | Appalachian State -1.5 | 2.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #40 | NNevada at North Dakota State2026-10-17 | Nevada +15.5 | North Dakota State -13.2 | North Dakota State -15.5 | 2.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #41 | FA Florida Atlantic at Army2026-10-17 | Army -2.5 | Army -4.7 | Army -2.5 | 2.2 | Medium | Lab → |
| #42 | GT Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech2026-10-17 | Georgia Tech +10 | Virginia Tech -7.9 | Virginia Tech -10.0 | 2.1 | Medium | Lab → |
| #43 | N Northwestern at Michigan State2026-10-17 | Michigan State +7.5 | Northwestern -5.6 | Northwestern -7.5 | 1.9 | Medium | Lab → |
| #44 | OS Ohio State at Indiana2026-10-17 | Ohio State -3.5 | Ohio State -5.1 | Ohio State -3.5 | 1.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #45 | NCNorth Carolina at Duke2026-10-17 | Duke -3 | Duke -4.6 | Duke -3.0 | 1.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #46 | A Auburn at Georgia2026-10-17 | Auburn +20.5 | Georgia -19.2 | Georgia -20.5 | 1.3 | High | Lab → |
| #47 | WM Western Michigan at Central Michigan2026-10-17 | Central Michigan +6.5 | Western Michigan -5.3 | Western Michigan -6.5 | 1.2 | Medium | Lab → |
| #48 | FSFlorida State at Miami (FL)2026-10-17 | Florida State +21 | Miami (FL) -19.8 | Miami (FL) -21.0 | 1.2 | High | Lab → |
| #49 | NDNotre Dame at BYU2026-10-17 | BYU +10 | Notre Dame -8.9 | Notre Dame -10.0 | 1.1 | Medium | Lab → |
| #50 | KSKent State at South Florida2026-10-17 | South Florida -20.5 | South Florida -21.3 | South Florida -20.5 | 0.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #51 | F Florida at Texas2026-10-17 | Texas -10.5 | Texas -11.2 | Texas -10.5 | 0.7 | High | Lab → |
| #52 | LT Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe2026-10-17 | UL Monroe +15.5 | Louisiana Tech -15.0 | Louisiana Tech -15.5 | 0.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #53 | T Tulsa at Rice2026-10-17 | Rice +4 | Tulsa -3.5 | Tulsa -4.0 | 0.5 | Low | Lab → |
| #54 | R Rutgers at Maryland2026-10-17 | Rutgers +4.5 | Maryland -4.1 | Maryland -4.5 | 0.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #55 | V Virginia at SMU2026-10-17 | Virginia +9.5 | SMU -9.1 | SMU -9.5 | 0.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #56 | SJ San Jose State at UTEP2026-10-17 | San Jose State -7.5 | San Jose State -7.9 | San Jose State -7.5 | 0.4 | Low | Lab → |
| #57 | AArkansas at Vanderbilt2026-10-17 | Arkansas +6 | Vanderbilt -5.7 | Vanderbilt -6.0 | 0.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #58 | PPittsburgh at Boston College2026-10-17 | Boston College +6.5 | Pittsburgh -6.2 | Pittsburgh -6.5 | 0.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #59 | OSOklahoma State at Houston2026-10-17 | Oklahoma State +4.5 | Houston -4.5 | Houston -4.5 | 0.0 | Medium | Lab → |
Published total predictions compared with October 13 recorded quotes.
| Rank | Game | Comparison | Matrix | Observed market | Gap | Confidence | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | FIFlorida International at Jacksonville State2026-10-13 | OVER 43.5 | 56.9 | O/U 43.5 | 13.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #2 | PPittsburgh at Boston College2026-10-17 | OVER 42.5 | 53.7 | O/U 42.5 | 11.2 | Medium | Lab → |
| #3 | CSColorado State at Texas State2026-10-15 | UNDER 70.5 | 59.9 | O/U 70.5 | 10.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #4 | AArkansas at Vanderbilt2026-10-17 | OVER 50.5 | 60.5 | O/U 50.5 | 10.0 | Low | Lab → |
| #5 | CCincinnati at West Virginia2026-10-17 | UNDER 63.5 | 53.7 | O/U 63.5 | 9.8 | Low | Lab → |
| #6 | CCharlotte at Temple2026-10-17 | OVER 47.5 | 56.8 | O/U 47.5 | 9.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #7 | TTCU at Baylor2026-10-17 | OVER 48.5 | 57.3 | O/U 48.5 | 8.8 | Low | Lab → |
| #8 | UUNLV at Air Force2026-10-17 | OVER 48.5 | 57.2 | O/U 48.5 | 8.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #9 | KSKent State at South Florida2026-10-17 | OVER 45.5 | 53.8 | O/U 45.5 | 8.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #10 | NMNew Mexico at Hawaii2026-10-17 | OVER 45.5 | 53.7 | O/U 45.5 | 8.2 | High | Lab → |
| #11 | DDelaware at Middle Tennessee2026-10-13 | OVER 48.5 | 56.6 | O/U 48.5 | 8.1 | Medium | Lab → |
| #12 | OSOklahoma State at Houston2026-10-17 | UNDER 62.5 | 54.5 | O/U 62.5 | 8.0 | Medium | Lab → |
| #13 | TTroy at Louisiana2026-10-17 | OVER 49.5 | 56.8 | O/U 49.5 | 7.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #14 | ECEast Carolina at UAB2026-10-15 | OVER 47.5 | 54.7 | O/U 47.5 | 7.2 | Low | Lab → |
| #15 | NDNotre Dame at BYU2026-10-17 | OVER 46.5 | 53.6 | O/U 46.5 | 7.1 | Medium | Lab → |
| #16 | WSWashington State at Oregon State2026-10-17 | UNDER 52.5 | 46.0 | O/U 52.5 | 6.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #17 | TToledo at Eastern Michigan2026-10-17 | UNDER 53.5 | 47.1 | O/U 53.5 | 6.4 | Low | Lab → |
| #18 | NNevada at North Dakota State2026-10-17 | OVER 42.5 | 48.6 | O/U 42.5 | 6.1 | Medium | Lab → |
| #19 | MSMississippi State at LSU2026-10-17 | UNDER 58.5 | 52.5 | O/U 58.5 | 6.0 | High | Lab → |
| #20 | PSPenn State at Michigan2026-10-17 | OVER 42.5 | 48.5 | O/U 42.5 | 6.0 | Low | Lab → |
| #21 | ASArkansas State at Southern Miss2026-10-17 | UNDER 62.5 | 56.5 | O/U 62.5 | 6.0 | Low | Lab → |
| #22 | MMissouri at Ole Miss2026-10-17 | UNDER 59.5 | 53.6 | O/U 59.5 | 5.9 | Low | Lab → |
| #23 | ASAppalachian State at Coastal Carolina2026-10-16 | OVER 49.5 | 55.3 | O/U 49.5 | 5.8 | Low | Lab → |
| #24 | LLouisville at Syracuse2026-10-17 | UNDER 55.5 | 49.7 | O/U 55.5 | 5.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #25 | FSFlorida State at Miami (FL)2026-10-17 | UNDER 55.5 | 49.9 | O/U 55.5 | 5.6 | High | Lab → |
| #26 | NCNorth Carolina at Duke2026-10-17 | OVER 47.5 | 53.0 | O/U 47.5 | 5.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #27 | TTulsa at Rice2026-10-17 | OVER 46.5 | 51.9 | O/U 46.5 | 5.4 | Low | Lab → |
| #28 | LTLouisiana Tech at UL Monroe2026-10-17 | UNDER 57.5 | 52.7 | O/U 57.5 | 4.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #29 | MMassachusetts at Buffalo2026-10-17 | OVER 41.5 | 46.3 | O/U 41.5 | 4.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #30 | NNavy at UTSA2026-10-17 | OVER 55.5 | 59.5 | O/U 55.5 | 4.0 | Low | Lab → |
| #31 | SJSan Jose State at UTEP2026-10-17 | OVER 46.5 | 50.5 | O/U 46.5 | 4.0 | Low | Lab → |
| #32 | UUtah at Colorado2026-10-17 | OVER 49.5 | 53.1 | O/U 49.5 | 3.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #33 | RRutgers at Maryland2026-10-17 | UNDER 57.5 | 54.0 | O/U 57.5 | 3.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #34 | FFlorida at Texas2026-10-17 | UNDER 52.5 | 49.2 | O/U 52.5 | 3.3 | High | Lab → |
| #35 | WKWestern Kentucky at Sam Houston2026-10-14 | OVER 53.5 | 56.8 | O/U 53.5 | 3.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #36 | GTGeorgia Tech at Virginia Tech2026-10-17 | UNDER 56.5 | 53.2 | O/U 56.5 | 3.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #37 | OOhio at Sacramento State2026-10-17 | UNDER 48.5 | 45.2 | O/U 48.5 | 3.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #38 | AAkron at Miami (OH)2026-10-17 | UNDER 46.5 | 43.6 | O/U 46.5 | 2.9 | High | Lab → |
| #39 | WWisconsin at UCLA2026-10-17 | OVER 43.5 | 46.4 | O/U 43.5 | 2.9 | Medium | Lab → |
| #40 | WFWake Forest at California2026-10-17 | UNDER 53.5 | 50.7 | O/U 53.5 | 2.8 | Low | Lab → |
| #41 | KKentucky at Oklahoma2026-10-17 | OVER 43.5 | 46.2 | O/U 43.5 | 2.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #42 | GSGeorgia State at James Madison2026-10-17 | UNDER 58.5 | 56.0 | O/U 58.5 | 2.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #43 | FSFresno State at San Diego State2026-10-17 | UNDER 46.5 | 44.1 | O/U 46.5 | 2.4 | Low | Lab → |
| #44 | BSBall State at Bowling Green2026-10-17 | UNDER 47.5 | 45.2 | O/U 47.5 | 2.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #45 | FAFlorida Atlantic at Army2026-10-17 | OVER 55.5 | 57.8 | O/U 55.5 | 2.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #46 | GSGeorgia Southern at Old Dominion2026-10-15 | OVER 47.5 | 49.7 | O/U 47.5 | 2.2 | Low | Lab → |
| #47 | WMWestern Michigan at Central Michigan2026-10-17 | OVER 43.5 | 45.1 | O/U 43.5 | 1.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #48 | WWashington at Purdue2026-10-16 | UNDER 52.5 | 50.9 | O/U 52.5 | 1.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #49 | ASArizona State at Texas Tech2026-10-17 | OVER 48.5 | 50.0 | O/U 48.5 | 1.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #50 | AAlabama at Tennessee2026-10-17 | OVER 51.5 | 53.0 | O/U 51.5 | 1.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #51 | OSOhio State at Indiana2026-10-17 | UNDER 51.5 | 50.0 | O/U 51.5 | 1.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #52 | NINorthern Illinois at Wyoming2026-10-17 | OVER 40.5 | 42.0 | O/U 40.5 | 1.5 | Low | Lab → |
| #53 | VVirginia at SMU2026-10-17 | UNDER 51.5 | 50.0 | O/U 51.5 | 1.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #54 | KSKennesaw State at Missouri State2026-10-14 | UNDER 52.5 | 51.7 | O/U 52.5 | 0.8 | Low | Lab → |
| #55 | MMemphis at Tulane2026-10-16 | UNDER 55.5 | 54.8 | O/U 55.5 | 0.7 | Low | Lab → |
| #56 | NNorthwestern at Michigan State2026-10-17 | UNDER 48.5 | 48.0 | O/U 48.5 | 0.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #57 | KKansas at Kansas State2026-10-17 | OVER 55.5 | 56.0 | O/U 55.5 | 0.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #58 | AAuburn at Georgia2026-10-17 | OVER 49.5 | 49.8 | O/U 49.5 | 0.3 | High | Lab → |
| #59 | NNebraska at Oregon2026-10-17 | UNDER 52.5 | 52.5 | O/U 52.5 | 0.0 | High | Lab → |
Week 7 ticket picks using exact October 13 recorded quotes. Matchup context accompanies the forecasts.
Ticket prices use the dated market snapshot. Returns update with your example stake; game-specific injury and weather context appears with the matchup.
Change the example stake to update every return below.
Week 7 forecasts paired with exact October 13 recorded quotes.
Before kickoff Quotes can move; actual placed stakes are unknown.
Ticket probabilities assume independent games and use the published model. Matchup context identifies player and weather factors.
Ticket estimate: 42.3%. Reducing each leg by five percentage points lowers it to 34.37%.
Raw model gap 10.8 points at the Tuesday quote.
Matchup context includes player availability and game-window weather. Prices use the dated market snapshot.
Team / availability source ↗Raw model gap 9.9 points at the Tuesday quote.
Matchup context includes player availability and game-window weather. Prices use the dated market snapshot.
Team / availability source ↗Raw model gap 9.8 points at the Tuesday quote.
Matchup context includes player availability and game-window weather. Prices use the dated market snapshot.
Team / availability source ↗Week 7 forecasts paired with exact October 13 recorded quotes.
Before kickoff Quotes can move; actual placed stakes are unknown.
Ticket probabilities assume independent games and use the published model. Matchup context identifies player and weather factors.
Ticket estimate: 29.8%. Reducing each leg by five percentage points lowers it to 23.60%.
Raw model gap 7.5 points at the Tuesday quote.
Matchup context includes player availability and game-window weather. Prices use the dated market snapshot.
Team / availability source ↗Raw model gap 6.9 points at the Tuesday quote.
Matchup context includes player availability and game-window weather. Prices use the dated market snapshot.
Team / availability source ↗Raw model gap 5.2 points at the Tuesday quote.
Matchup context includes player availability and game-window weather. Prices use the dated market snapshot.
Team / availability source ↗Saved Week 7 underdog moneylines; the four- and five-team variants retain the same core three legs.
Before kickoffModel estimate assumes independent games. See the matchup context for player availability and weather.
Ticket probabilities assume independent games and use the published model. Matchup context identifies player and weather factors.
Ticket estimate: 12.57%. Reducing each leg by five percentage points lowers it to 9.14%.
Raw outright probability 56.7% for the market underdog. Player availability and weather appear in matchup context; prices use the dated quote.
Matchup context includes player availability and game-window weather. Prices use the dated market snapshot.
Team / availability source ↗Raw outright probability 52.5% for the market underdog. Player availability and weather appear in matchup context; prices use the dated quote.
Matchup context includes player availability and game-window weather. Prices use the dated market snapshot.
Team / availability source ↗Raw outright probability 42.2% for the market underdog. Player availability and weather appear in matchup context; prices use the dated quote.
Matchup context includes player availability and game-window weather. Prices use the dated market snapshot.
Team / availability source ↗Both extensions repeat the core three upsets. Adding teams raises the payout and lowers the chance of a clean ticket.
Saved Week 7 underdog moneylines; the four- and five-team variants retain the same core three legs.
Model estimate assumes independent games. See the matchup context for player availability and weather.
Raw independent hit estimate: 5.24% · unadjustedSaved Week 7 underdog moneylines; the four- and five-team variants retain the same core three legs.
Model estimate assumes independent games. See the matchup context for player availability and weather.
Raw independent hit estimate: 2.13% · unadjustedRaw independent-leg model probabilities, without correlation or final personnel/weather calibration.
Hypothetical gross returns; no actual placed stakes or realized profit supplied.
Tickets overlap across the core and alternate combinations. Returns describe separate tickets, not independent portfolio outcomes.
Recorded quote source ↗
