Matrix Power Rating-12.2National #113
Projected Wins5.45National #97
Schedule Strength#111National SOS rank
Projected Offense26.9Points per game
Projected Defense29.7Points allowed
Point Differential-2.8Projected per game
Current Context
Reviewed StateWhat Changed
No Week 0 game has been played for this team. Current MPR and projected wins remain the approved preseason team state entering Week 1.
Week 0 ResultNo game
MPR-12.2 → -12.2
Projected Wins5.45 → 5.45
Model update note
No new game evidence has entered the team update gate yet.
External Headlines
Latest Delaware news.
Loading team headlines…
Outcome Range
Season Distribution
The detailed record distribution remains the certified preseason baseline until the full game-by-game probability cascade is refreshed.
Preseason Outcome ShapeBaseline distribution
The gold bar is the baseline mode (5 wins). This component is explicitly separated from the current headline state and will switch to the refreshed distribution when the full probability cascade is updated.
Season Market Context · 2026-08-08
Preseason Comparison LayerMarket context stays separate from MPR and projected wins. This snapshot is retained as comparison context and does not define team strength.
Posted Total6.5
Effective Market6.17
Adjusted Edge-0.71
SignalStrong
Game by Game
2026 Schedule Matrix
Remaining game rows preserve the approved preseason game-level projection baseline until the next full schedule-probability cascade.
DateOpponentWin %Score / ResultMarginTotalConfidenceType
SEP 3MMerrimackHome · Nonconference — FCS71%Win %32–24Baseline score+8.1Margin55.5TotalMediumFCS/Other ProxyOpponent
SEP 19CCCoastal CarolinaHome · Nonconference60%Win %31–27Baseline score+4.1Margin57.4TotalLowFBSOpponent
OCT 13MTMiddle TennesseeAway · Conference USA78%Win %34–22Baseline score+11.6Margin56.5TotalHighFBSOpponent
OCT 20MSMissouri StateHome · Conference USA72%Win %32–23Baseline score+8.9Margin55.3TotalMediumFBSOpponent
OCT 27WKWestern KentuckyAway · Conference USA24%Win %24–34Baseline score-10.7Margin58.1TotalHighFBSOpponent
NOV 7KSKennesaw StateAway · Conference USA34%Win %24–31Baseline score-6.2Margin55.2TotalMediumFBSOpponent
NOV 14FIFlorida InternationalHome · Conference USA60%Win %31–27Baseline score+3.7Margin58.1TotalLowFBSOpponent
NOV 21NMNew Mexico StateAway · Conference USA52%Win %28–27Baseline score+0.9Margin54.6TotalLowFBSOpponent
NOV 28JSJacksonville StateHome · Conference USA43%Win %28–31Baseline score-2.8Margin58.3TotalLowFBSOpponent
Data-vintage safeguard: current MPR and projected wins above are the approved Week 1 team-state values. Detailed distribution and remaining schedule probabilities are explicitly labeled as baseline where the full probability cascade has not yet been refreshed.