Ratings fitted through Week 8. Results through October 25.
Preseason roster reference: Twelve returning starters plus Anthony Colandrea's experience improve the floor; the defensive coordinator change tempers the gain.
MPR #24Projected Wins #49Big Ten MPR #8Ratings through Week 8 · Outlook October 25
Matrix Power Rating13.0National #24
Projected Wins7.48National #49
Schedule Strength#26National SOS rank
Projected Offense25.4Remaining-schedule average
Projected Defense25.9Remaining-schedule average
Point Differential-0.5Projected per game
Week 8 Model Update
Model Response
Moved Down
The Week 8 review is complete. This panel shows the rating change and its football context.
Week-over-Week MPR13.49 → 13.03-0.47 MPR
Rank#22 → #24-2 spots
Projected Wins7.53 → 7.48Week 9 refresh
SEASON STRENGTH UPDATE
Week 8 bye. The joint season fit moves power -0.5 points; unit inputs are retained.
External Headlines
Latest Nebraska news.
Publisher headlines · auto-updating
Loading team headlines…
Outcome Range
Season Distribution
Completed results through October 25 are fixed. Remaining-game probabilities use the ratings fitted through Week 8.
Current Season OutlookResults through October 25
5
6
7
8
9
10
The gold bar is the current mode (8 wins). Each remaining game is treated independently; shared rating uncertainty is not included. Bars below 0.05% are omitted.
Season Market Reference · 2026-08-08
Current Forecast / Preseason Quote
The August 8 quote is retained for comparison. This gap is not a current betting recommendation and does not define team strength.
Preseason Posted Total6.5
Preseason Effective Market6.31
Current Win-Total Gap+1.18
Quote StatusReference only
Game by Game
2026 Schedule Matrix
Upcoming games use season-strength ratings after Week 8. Completed results retain their original pregame Matrix forecast.
Week 8 closeout is complete. Season-win market comparisons retain the August 8 quote vintage; they are reference comparisons. Season-win distributions condition on played results and use independent remaining-game probabilities.
Active net power 13.03 = OFF 30.32 − DEF 20.75 + ST 0.17 + legacy residual 0.25 + season adjustment 3.03. Sigma 1.44.
