Illinois at Maryland
Matrix 28–24 · Illinois 61.4%
Current MPR leaderOhio StateNational #1 · MPR 32.4
Projected wins leaderIndiana10.46 expected wins
Average MPR11.3Current neutral-field strength
MPR Top 258Teams ranked 1–25 nationally
Title favoriteOhio State69.3% to win the title
Conference Headlines
Latest Big Ten news and movement.
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Current Strength
Team-by-Team Outlook
Conference rank follows current MPR. Records and title chances are with results through October 25.
RankTeamMPRProj WinsSOSTitle chancesWk MPR
32.4MPR10.36Proj wins#19SOSReach92.7%Win69.3%+0.17 Week 8 MPR
25.1MPR10.46Proj wins#41SOSReach72.9%Win25.9%-0.02 Week 8 MPR
23.9MPR7.64Proj wins#8SOSReach4.7%Win1.9%-1.18 Week 8 MPR
15.5MPR7.80Proj wins#20SOSReach1.5%Win0.3%-1.34 Week 8 MPR
14.5MPR6.67Proj wins#10SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%+0.28 Week 8 MPR
14.2MPR6.77Proj wins#61SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%+0.09 Week 8 MPR
13.1MPR8.25Proj wins#35SOSReach1.3%Win0.2%-0.85 Week 8 MPR
13.0MPR7.48Proj wins#26SOSReach0.2%Win<0.1%-0.47 Week 8 MPR
11.8MPR6.05Proj wins#30SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%+0.18 Week 8 MPR
10.1MPR9.79Proj wins#44SOSReach20.2%Win1.9%+0.20 Week 8 MPR
9.0MPR7.70Proj wins#23SOSReach0.5%Win<0.1%+1.19 Week 8 MPR
8.7MPR6.34Proj wins#27SOSReach0.2%Win<0.1%+1.51 Week 8 MPR
6.4MPR6.73Proj wins#38SOSReach1.5%Win0.1%+0.69 Week 8 MPR
6.3MPR7.69Proj wins#51SOSReach4.3%Win0.3%+1.24 Week 8 MPR
1.9MPR3.76Proj wins#32SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%+0.08 Week 8 MPR
-0.3MPR3.43Proj wins#49SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%-1.27 Week 8 MPR
-0.4MPR2.88Proj wins#22SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%-0.21 Week 8 MPR
Snapshot: Standings and season outlook with results through October 25. Ratings after Week 8; published October 26 game forecasts retained. Method & sources →
Evidence In
Week 2 Evidence Archive
The cards below preserve the original Week 2 review. Their changes are historical; the current Move column above shows the Week 8 update.
Model UpdatedOregon
L 31–39 vs Oklahoma State
MPR -2.00 · Projected Wins -1.11
Model UpdatedNebraskaW 56–7 vs Bowling Green
MPR +1.50 · Projected Wins +0.43
Model UpdatedWashingtonW 16–14 vs Utah State
MPR -1.50 · Projected Wins -0.24
Model UpdatedMinnesotaL 13–38 vs Mississippi State
MPR -1.25 · Projected Wins -0.84
Model UpdatedIllinoisL 27–31 vs Duke
MPR -0.50 · Projected Wins -0.77
Model UpdatedOhio StateL 23–24 vs Texas
MPR -0.50 · Projected Wins -0.68
Model UpdatedPurdueL 36–38 vs Wake Forest
MPR +0.50 · Projected Wins -0.24
No saved forecastIndianaW 55–0 vs Howard
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastIowaW 16–13 vs Iowa State
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastMarylandW 38–14 vs UConn
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastMichiganW 17–10 vs Oklahoma
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastMichigan StateW 35–7 vs Eastern Michigan
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastNorthwesternWeek 2 bye
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
Model UpdatedPenn StateW 27–9 vs Temple
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.12
No saved forecastRutgersL 21–28 vs Boston College
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastUCLAW 28–10 vs San Diego State
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastUSCW 49–30 vs Louisiana
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastWisconsinW 36–9 vs Western Illinois
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
Week 9 conference games
Published October 26 forecasts with game results as they arrive.
Wisconsin at Iowa
Matrix 16–25 · Iowa 72.1%
Michigan at Rutgers
Matrix 33–20 · Michigan 80.3%
Minnesota at Indiana
Matrix 14–34 · Indiana 91.4%
Northwestern at Oregon
Matrix 16–33 · Oregon 87.3%
Nevada at UCLA
Matrix 15–37 · UCLA 93.4%
Purdue at Penn State
Matrix 17–35 · Penn State 89.1%
Ohio State at USC
Matrix 35–19 · Ohio State 85.0%
Washington at Nebraska
Matrix 23–27 · Nebraska 60.7%
Week 8 Results Archive
Finals and original projections
Indiana at Michigan
Final 13–6 · Original Matrix 29–20
Frozen forecast and grades →Rutgers at Northwestern
Final 14–42 · Original Matrix 21–30
Frozen forecast and grades →Oregon at Illinois
Final 10–21 · Original Matrix 35–19
Frozen forecast and grades →Iowa at Minnesota
Final 10–13 · Original Matrix 26–20
Frozen forecast and grades →Michigan State at UCLA
Final 10–28 · Original Matrix 21–33
Frozen forecast and grades →USC at Wisconsin
Final 7–24 · Original Matrix 28–19
Frozen forecast and grades →Week 7 Results Archive
Finals and original projections
Washington at Purdue
Final 38–26 · Original Matrix 30–21
Frozen forecast and grades →Northwestern at Michigan State
Final 24–21 · Original Matrix 27–21
Frozen forecast and grades →Ohio State at Indiana
Final 19–15 · Original Matrix 28–22
Frozen forecast and grades →Rutgers at Maryland
Final 37–30 · Original Matrix 25–29
Frozen forecast and grades →Penn State at Michigan
Final 18–21 · Original Matrix 23–26
Frozen forecast and grades →Wisconsin at UCLA
Final 7–17 · Original Matrix 20–27
Frozen forecast and grades →Nebraska at Oregon
Final 14–17 · Original Matrix 18–34
Frozen forecast and grades →Week 6 Results Archive
Finals and original projections
Iowa at Washington
Final 41–24 · Original Matrix 23–25
Frozen forecast and grades →Indiana at Nebraska
Final 20–17 · Original Matrix 31–20
Frozen forecast and grades →Ball State at Northwestern
Final 14–45 · Original Matrix 4–43
Frozen forecast and grades →Illinois at Michigan State
Final 38–37 · Original Matrix 30–24
Frozen forecast and grades →UCLA at Oregon
Final 17–15 · Original Matrix 17–39
Frozen forecast and grades →Maryland at Ohio State
Final 16–45 · Original Matrix 8–41
Frozen forecast and grades →USC at Penn State
Final 31–23 · Original Matrix 26–28
Frozen forecast and grades →Minnesota at Purdue
Final 13–41 · Original Matrix 28–21
Frozen forecast and grades →