Baylor at UCF
Matrix 26–27 · UCF 53.3%
Current MPR leaderTexas TechNational #10 · MPR 20.1
Projected wins leaderUtah10.00 expected wins
Average MPR7.5Current neutral-field strength
MPR Top 254Teams ranked 1–25 nationally
Title favoriteTexas Tech34.2% to win the title
Conference Headlines
Latest Big 12 news and movement.
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Current Strength
Team-by-Team Outlook
Conference rank follows current MPR. Records and title chances are with results through October 25.
RankTeamMPRProj WinsSOSTitle chancesWk MPR
20.1MPR9.97Proj wins#65SOSReach51.9%Win34.2%-1.19 Week 8 MPR
16.2MPR9.76Proj wins#50SOSReach47.8%Win24.6%-1.35 Week 8 MPR
13.4MPR10.00Proj wins#52SOSReach50.2%Win21.2%-0.02 Week 8 MPR
13.2MPR8.84Proj wins#59SOSReach20.5%Win9.0%+1.20 Week 8 MPR
11.4MPR8.93Proj wins#58SOSReach14.3%Win5.5%-0.33 Week 8 MPR
11.1MPR7.93Proj wins#53SOSReach12.3%Win4.9%+1.39 Week 8 MPR
7.8MPR5.25Proj wins#45SOSReach0.1%Win<0.1%-1.31 Week 8 MPR
7.6MPR6.62Proj wins#66SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%-0.90 Week 8 MPR
5.0MPR6.02Proj wins#34SOSReach0.6%Win0.1%+1.19 Week 8 MPR
4.8MPR5.80Proj wins#46SOSReach0.2%Win<0.1%-0.37 Week 8 MPR
4.5MPR7.04Proj wins#36SOSReach0.6%Win0.1%+1.50 Week 8 MPR
3.9MPR6.76Proj wins#64SOSReach1.4%Win0.3%+1.23 Week 8 MPR
2.8MPR4.79Proj wins#60SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%+0.11 Week 8 MPR
0.6MPR6.02Proj wins#39SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%+1.42 Week 8 MPR
-0.1MPR4.69Proj wins#43SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%-1.50 Week 8 MPR
Snapshot: Standings and season outlook with results through October 25. Ratings after Week 8; published October 26 game forecasts retained. Method & sources →
Evidence In
Week 2 Evidence Archive
The cards below preserve the original Week 2 review. Their changes are historical; the current Move column above shows the Week 8 update.
Model UpdatedOklahoma State
W 39–31 vs Oregon
MPR +1.50 · Projected Wins +1.23
Model UpdatedUtahW 43–10 vs Arkansas
MPR +1.50 · Projected Wins +0.57
Model UpdatedTexas TechW 35–24 vs Oregon State
MPR -0.75 · Projected Wins -0.09
No saved forecastArizonaL 17–28 vs BYU
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastArizona StateL 20–48 vs Texas A&M
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastBYUW 28–17 vs Arizona
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastBaylorW 44–3 vs Prairie View A&M
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastCincinnatiW 62–10 vs Western Carolina
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastColoradoW 52–21 vs Weber State
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastHoustonW 77–6 vs Southern
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastIowa StateL 13–16 vs Iowa
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastKansasL 21–38 vs Missouri
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastKansas StateW 34–7 vs Washington State
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastTCUW 63–7 vs Grambling State
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
Model UpdatedUCFL 7–12 vs Pittsburgh
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins -0.32
No saved forecastWest VirginiaW 52–7 vs UT Martin
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
Week 9 conference games
Published October 26 forecasts with game results as they arrive.
Arizona at Texas Tech
Matrix 21–30 · Texas Tech 73.3%
Kansas State at Colorado
Matrix 30–24 · Kansas State 67.1%
Arizona State at BYU
Matrix 19–32 · BYU 81.1%
Kansas at TCU
Matrix 23–31 · TCU 71.2%
Utah at Cincinnati
Matrix 31–25 · Utah 66.7%
Oklahoma State at Iowa State
Matrix 29–20 · Oklahoma State 72.5%
Week 8 Results Archive
Finals and original projections
Texas Tech at Cincinnati
Final 24–37 · Original Matrix 35–19
Frozen forecast and grades →West Virginia at TCU
Final 24–20 · Original Matrix 20–33
Frozen forecast and grades →Baylor at Kansas
Final 24–25 · Original Matrix 29–29
Frozen forecast and grades →BYU at UCF
Final 31–39 · Original Matrix 30–19
Frozen forecast and grades →Kansas State at Arizona State
Final 17–28 · Original Matrix 28–25
Frozen forecast and grades →Colorado at Oklahoma State
Final 24–57 · Original Matrix 20–32
Frozen forecast and grades →Iowa State at Arizona
Final 3–39 · Original Matrix 18–31
Frozen forecast and grades →Houston at Utah
Final 13–21 · Original Matrix 25–30
Frozen forecast and grades →Week 7 Results Archive
Finals and original projections
Cincinnati at West Virginia
Final 42–45 · Original Matrix 28–26
Frozen forecast and grades →Kansas at Kansas State
Final 24–35 · Original Matrix 24–32
Frozen forecast and grades →Arizona State at Texas Tech
Final 25–53 · Original Matrix 16–34
Frozen forecast and grades →TCU at Baylor
Final 17–6 · Original Matrix 29–28
Frozen forecast and grades →Notre Dame at BYU
Final 24–28 · Original Matrix 31–22
Frozen forecast and grades →Oklahoma State at Houston
Final 32–35 · Original Matrix 25–29
Frozen forecast and grades →Utah at Colorado
Final 27–24 · Original Matrix 33–20
Frozen forecast and grades →Week 6 Results Archive
Finals and original projections
Iowa State at BYU
Final 10–24 · Original Matrix 15–33
Frozen forecast and grades →Arizona at West Virginia
Final 52–31 · Original Matrix 30–22
Frozen forecast and grades →UCF at Oklahoma State
Final 28–42 · Original Matrix 20–30
Frozen forecast and grades →Houston at Kansas State
Final 35–16 · Original Matrix 27–29
Frozen forecast and grades →Hawaii at Arizona State
Final 12–30 · Original Matrix 19–34
Frozen forecast and grades →Kansas at Utah
Final 24–41 · Original Matrix 21–35
Frozen forecast and grades →